LIVE RESULTS: One Nation preferences may help MP survive
WELCOME to Queensland Election 2017. We will rolling updates throughout the day as voters decide who will lead the state for the next three years.
LATEST: Labor's Brent Hampstead has not conceded but admits it would be a challenge for him to win Glass House with a strong flow of One Nation preferences now likely to get sitting LNP Member Andrew Powell home.
Mr Hampstead, who had been considered a near certainty to win the seat, said he was feeling really disappointed having come so close in 2015.
"We are one and a half points behind at the moment," he said. "I don't hold a lot of hope."
The result would be decided by postal and pre-poll votes which Mr Hampstead generally favoured the LNP.
Earlier Mr Powell said he was unwilling to either declare victory or concede defeat with the result line ball.
But Mr Hampstead said One Nation voters weren't following the party's How to Vote cards and were heavily-favouring Mr Powell over himself.
He said Safe Communities lobbying arm Rite-ON had been active throughout the electorate urging voters to ignore the One Nation cards and to put Labor last.
10PM UPDATE :Labor candidate Bill Gissane has conceded defeat in the new Coast seat of Ninderry to the LNP's rookie campaigner Dan Purdie.
'Big Bill' said there was "no way" he could win the seat after failing to get over 30% of the primary vote.
He said the One Nation preferences had flowed almost exactly as their how-to-vote cards had specified, sending preferences to his opponent.
Mr Gissane lamented a poor showing in the Bli Bli booth which also stung his chances.
He congratulated Mr Purdie on his victory, but said he was disappointed the Coast hadn't taken its opportunity to have a say in what was shaping as a Labor Government in its own right.
"I think it's very unfortunate," Mr Gissane said.
He believed it meant the Coast had missed an opportunity to influence the new government.
Meanwhile, a powerful campaign by Safe Communities lobby group Rite-ON may cruel the chances of Labor winning either of the two southern Sunshine Coast seats of Glass House and Caloundra.
The group whose supporters wore orange shirts to attract One Nation voters handed out How to Vote cards meant to counter that party's decision to preference the LNP behind Labor in both seats.
Brent Hampstead who had been expected to romp home was 50-50 with the LNP's Andrew Powell last night with the LNP member saying the outcome would be determined by postal and pre-poll numbers.
One Nation's Tracey Bell-Henselin has secured 23.65% of the primary vote to date with Labor on 27.54%, the Greens on 11.88% and Mr Powell on 34.14%.
Ms Bell-Henselin's preferences are breaking heavily to Mr Powell despite her card placing Labor ahead.
Mr Powell said he was 50-50 with Mr Hampstead and he was neither claiming or conceding victory.
He said the preference flow from One Nation was better than How to Vote cards would have suggested.
In Caloundra the Rite-ON effect was hurting Labor's Jason Hunt's chances of an upset against LNP incumbent Mark McArdle.
Labor campaign manager Michael Hallam said where ever Rite-ON had been active his candidate was struggling to get more than 40% of One Nation preferences.
Mr Hallam said Labor had pulled a 1.2% swing to it but was unlikely to make up any more ground.
Mr McArdle had 34.47% of the vote with Mr Hunt on 30.88%, One Nation's Rod Jones strong on 22.15% and the Greens Marcus Finch on 12.5%.
LIVE 9.45PM: The LNP's Fiona Simpson has claimed victory in the seat of Maroochydore.
She said the final booth had come in and with it an endorsement from voters to represent them once again, after 25 years at the helm.
"I'm delighted to retain the seat of Maroochydore," she told the Daily tonight.
"You never take that support for granted."
She said she had the "fire in the belly" and was ready to fight for the area she loved, as the prospect of a majority Labor Government looms large.
Labor candidate Julie McGlone conceded defeat but warned Ms Simpson needed to take tonight's result "on notice and start being a better member".
"Fiona needs to, in the words of people finer than me, she needs to pull finger," Ms McGlone said.
Ms McGlone was pleased with the swing towards her, which as it stands is just less than 7%.
"This has become a marginal seat now," she said.
"We're really going to capitalise on that."
"The Labor Party is coming after the LNP in a big way on the Sunshine Coast."
With a short term of less than three years ahead before fixed, four-year terms come into play, Ms McGlone said she would look to build momentum and go again to win Maroochydore.
She wished Ms Simpson luck but added she was not feeling particularly gracious in defeat, frustrated at what she deemed a lack of leadership from Ms Simpson.
LIVE 9.30PM: "I'd rather be Sandy Bolton than Glen Elmes at the moment."
He's not conceding, far from it, but Noosa MP Glen Elmes recognises he has the fight of his political life on his hands as former Noosa councillor and Independent candidate Sandy Bolton launches a raid on the long-time LNP seat.
Mr Elmes said it was way too early to make a call either way, with about 16,000 pre-poll votes and almost 2000 postal votes still to count.
He said pre-polling had been a traditionally strong source of votes of his in the past, but conceded he'd rather be in Ms Bolton's position at this stage.
"We just have to wait and see when these others are counted," Mr Elmes said.
With about half an hour of counting left to go tonight, it's not likely a result will be known in Noosa tonight.
Mr Elmes was disappointed a majority Labor Government looked likely.
He said he'd seen evidence in booths of the One Nation how-to-vote direction being ignored, with preferences still flowing to him, and he'd even picked up a significant swathe of Greens preferences in one booth.
LIVE 8.50PM: JARROD Bleijie has been re-elected in Kawana to claim the LNP's first seat on the Sunshine Coast.
A humble Mr Bleijie said he was very grateful to Kawana residents for their support.
"Mark Moss (Labor) has conceded. We ran a strong campaign."
Mr Bleijie may even finish with a swing to him in an election where the trend has continued to be away from the LNP.
In Buderim Brent Mickelberg was expected to declare the end of Queensland One Nation leader Steve Dickson's political career within the hour as the LNP candidate surges further ahead in counting.
Mr Mickelberg will benefit from strong preference flows from Labor's Ken Mackenzie and Tracy Burton from the Greens who have both placed Mr Dickson last on their How to Vote crds.
In Maroochydore Fiona Simpson is facing a real challenge from Labor's Julie McGlone who has impressed on the campaign trail drawing her plenty of support.
A strong Green vote for Daniel Bryar who is ahead of One Nation's Cam Young puts the former Newman Government Speaker under enormous pressure to hold the seat for the first time in her career.
Ms Simpson said she thought she was heading in the right direction but that it was too early to call it."At this stage we have a lot of very tired wonderful volunteers," she said.
With 41% of the primary vote counted Ms Simpson holds 39.66% with Ms McGlone on 27.54%, Daniel Bryar of the Greens on 16.88% and One Nation's Cam Young on 15.92%.
Ms McGlone would pick up a strong preference flow from the Greens with her success dependent on an even split of One Nation preferences after that party placed her ahead of the incumbent.
LIVE 8.30PM: Neither main contestant in the race for the seat of Noosa is prepared to claim victory or concede defeat as booth results continued to show first-time independent Sandy Bolton neck and neck with sitting member, the LNP's Glen Elmes.
With six of the booths out of 10 counted, Ms Bolton's primary vote was 3204 or 29.5% of the primary vote, against four-term server Mr Elmes' 2874, or 26.4%.
How to vote cards strongly suggest the majority of second preferences will go to Ms Bolton - even Mr Elmes' how to vote card put Ms Bolton second, above One Nation.
Ms Bolton also dominated in the pre-polling vote, taking 406 to 226 votes.
One Nation's Eve Whiteside was running third in an exit poll taken earlier this week, however she has fallen back to fifth position, behind the Greens Phillip Jenkins (third) and the ALP's Mark Denham (fourth).
LIVE 8.10PM: Labor hopeful Julie McGlone has "everything crossed" as she closes in on a drought-breaking result in Maroochydore.
A controversial decision by One Nation to preference Labor above the sitting LNP member in Fiona Simpson appears to have paid early dividends too.
Ms McGlone said of the three booths she was certain of, preferences had flown from One Nation in the order of 70% her way.
With Greens candidate Daniel Bryar holding firm on nearly 20% it's looking like Ms McGlone may make a breakthrough in Maroochydore.
The seat has been held by Ms Simpson since 1992.
"It's still way too early to call clearly," Ms McGlone said.
She said her numbers showed she may have taken Millwell Road booth by a single vote, while also she is also looking like the victor in Mount Coolum and Mooloolaba.
"It's still early days," she said.
"This is the best show we've (Labor across the region) ever had."
LIVE 8PM: Jarrod Bleijie in Kawana looks set to claim the first Sunshine Coast seat of the night for the LNP holding more than 52% of the vote with over 34% already counted.
In Caloundra One Nation preference flows may save Mark McArdle although he leads Labor's Jason Hunt by only 34.48% to 30.58% with 41% counted.
Mr Hunt was hurt badly by a strong flow of One Nation preferences to Mr McArdle in Beerwah and Landsborough but he has also picked up most of One Nation's preferences in Bellvista.
At this point he isn't confident he'll have the votes to cause an upset.
Labor's Brent Hampstead in Glass House says the result there remains too close to call with the flow of preferences from One Nation and the Greens to decide who takes the seat.
He is confident though having won booths he failed to claim in 2015 and with a swing of 2% his way.
In Buderim Steve Dickson trails the LNP's Brent Mickelberg by 28.29% to 35.43%. Labor's Ken Mackenzie is on 22.73% and the Greens Tracy Burton 13.55%.
All candidates have preferenced against Mr Dickson so his chances from here look slim.
LIVE 7.45PM: One Nation State Leader Steve Dickson has admitted he's trailing in the vote count in his electorate.
Mr Dickson told Sky News while he was not giving up just yet, it was "not looking fantastic" and he would wait to "see what comes of these numbers later in the evening."
His boss, Senator Pauline Hanson said she was still hopeful preferences would swing things in Mr Dickson's favour.
When asked about news that her Ispwich candidate Malcolm Roberts was already out of the race, Senator Hanson said she would not conceded defeat there either.
"What's different in this election is preferential voting - the flow of preferences," she said.
LIVE 7.30PM: Ninderry hopeful Dan Purdie is quietly confident with the way the count is going.
While too early to call, the LNP candidate looks likely to claim the Coast's newest seat, he's taken first blood in key booths of Coolum and Bli Bli, and his information is that he's convincingly won Forest Glen.
"The early stuff coming in is positive," the Coast detective said.
LIVE 7PM: Counting has started in the 2017 Queensland Election. Here is how it's shaping on the Sunshine Coast.
One Nation leader Steve Dickson was trailing Labor and was well behind the LNP's Brent Mickelberg in early Buderim counting in the 2017 Queensland election.
The LNP'S Mark McArdle had jumped well clear in early counting in Caloundra on 42.66% well ahead of Labor's Jason Hunt on 26.88% and with One Nation's Rod Jones just behind on 21.91% of the first preference vote
Andrew Powell on 33.87% led Labor's Brent Hampstead on 28.91% with Tracey Bell-Henselin for One Nation also strong at 18.53%.
Sue Weber for the Greens has picked up 15.85% of the early count with independent Sue Mureau on 2.85%.
Jarrod Bleijie was being pushed in early counting in Kawana holding 39.02% of first preferences ahead of Labor's Mark Moss on 34.15% and Annette Spendlove for the Greens on 14.02%. Mike Jessop held 6.71% and Jeremy Davey 6.1%
Almost 7% of the roll has been completed in the first preference count, with 3 of 144 booths in.
Incumbent Fiona has commanded 36.12% of the vote, with Labor's Julie McGlone (28.02%) and Greens' Daniel Bryar (20.55%) the next closest challengers.
Six booths have been counted in Nicklin and One Nation's Steven Ford has made a good start, with 24.21% of the primary vote.
LNP candidate Marty Hunt leads with 31.92% of the vote while Labor's Justin Raethel holds 21.58% of the vote.
More than 5% of the roll has been counted in the Coast's new seat and LNP candidate Dan Purdie has skipped to an early lead on the first preference count, with 39.49% of the vote.
Labor's Bill Gissane is trailing with 20.67% of the vote while One Nation hopeful Barry Ward has secured 17.75% of the early votes.
Ex-councillor Sandy Bolton has taken an early lead in Noosa, with 33.8% of the vote after the first booth was counted.
Incumbent Glen Elmes (LNP) is only 40 votes adrift with 26.86% of the vote, with Greens candidate Phillip Jenkins next best with 14.38% of first preferences.
LIVE 6.40PM: Buderim MP Steve Dickson is headed into the unknown, facing a nervous wait as votes start to be counted in the electorate he has represented as an LNP Minister in the past.
The high-profile One Nation defector spent today at his toughest booth, at Buderim Mountain State School, and said he was glad to have reached the end of the campaign.
He said he had no idea which way the result was going to go and said only about half of the voters were taking flyers from volunteers today.
But there were no fears.
"It doesn't help to be nervous," Mr Dickson said.
"We'll wait and see what happens after tonight.
"If we win, the Coast wins."
He said one way or another he wouldn't have to worry about an election tomorrow and he was looking forward to getting home and cutting his grass.
"It's been three weeks," Mr Dickson said.
His 'Sticking with Steve' motto was matched this afternoon by Federal MP Ted O'Brien's 'Backing Brent' slogan, as the Member for Fairfax handed out how-to-vote cards for LNP candidate Brent Mickelberg.
Mr O'Brien said it was "hard to judge" which way people were voting today.
LIVE 5.30PM: A COMPLAINT has been made to Electoral Commission Queensland about the behaviour of a One Nation volunteer at the Mountain Creek State School who is alleged to have elbowed one woman and blown on the neck of another.
Volunteer for The Greens Frances Law alleged she saw a large One Nation supporter intimidating a much smaller female Labor supporter handing out How to Vote cards, elbowing her and towering over her in an intimidating manner.
Ms Law said when she supported the woman's complaint to One Nation booth captain Joe Natoli and then directly to Pauline Hanson herself, they were dismissed as beating it up for the media.
"The One Nation guy was towering over the lady in an intimidating way," Ms Law said. "She was saying 'stop it'."
LIVE 5.15PM: Is there a massive One Nation boil over brewing in the seat of Nicklin?
Today's polling booth turnout has seen a strong show of support for One Nation candidate Steven Ford, in the race to fill the seat vacated by departing Independent Speaker Peter Wellington.
Labor hopeful Justin Raethel said his information from booths across the electorate had One Nation ahead on primary vote right now.
He was pleased with the response he was getting and said a large number of Labor faithful had turned out today, and tipped it'd become a battle of preferences to settle the seat.
LIVE 4.45PM: A MAJOR upset was now expected in Noosa where independent Sandy Bolton appears on track to secure a seat in Parliament.
LNP Member Glen Elmes said he would need to be a long way ahead on the primary vote count to survive with all other candidates preferencing against him.
"Preferences will kill me,' Mr Elmes said.
Chasing his sixth term Mr Elmes may yet finish behind Ms Bolton on the primary vote according to former Noosa Mayor Bob Abbot.
LIVE 4PM: Election booth workers are reporting voter disinterest with how to vote cards as they head to the polls in the dying hours of the 2017 Queensland election campaign.
Former Noosa and Sunshine Coast mayor Bob Abbott who was supporting independent Sandy Bolton said as the week had progressed voters increasingly had rejected cards offered by campaign volunteers from all candidates.
"It's gone from two in five to one in 10 taking them," he said.
"It's just been an incredible change."
Part of the reason may be that younger voters particularly were going to their favoured candidate's website and downloading their cards onto their phones.
LIVE 2PM: Member for Glass House Andrew Powell is upbeat as he faces an uphill battle to retain his seat.
The LNP incumbent said the feeedback had been "really positive" from voters so far today, but he was well aware of the assault being mounted on his seat.
"I'm positive but nervous," Mr Powell said.
Labor candidate Brent Hampstead appears likely to unseat Mr Powell, boosted by the One Nation decision to preference Mr Hampstead above Mr Powell.
Mr Powell said the prospect of Glass House falling to Labor on the back of preference flows from the Greens and One Nation "says it all really" about the unlikely alliances being formed to challenge him.
Despite that he remained hopeful the significant number of pre-poll votes lodged and the army of LNP supporters that had turned up to help today would all help him cling on in what looks set to be a tight contest.
He didn't expect a result to be known tonight.
LIVE 1.30PM: Labor Glass House candidate Brent Hampstead said his fingers were crossed and he was feeling good but remained uncertain about his chances of upsetting the incumbent, former Newman Government Minister Andrew Powell.
Mr Hampstead said there was no Newman protest element in this election making it even harder to predict the outcome.
Following boundary redistribution and the deep inroads cut into his margin by Mr Hampstead in 2015, Mr Powell has been left defending a 0.9% lead going into this contest.
Labor was riding a uniform 2.8% polling swing to it going into today's vote which would give Mr Hampstead a real shot at victory.
The ABC was also reporting today that LNP exit polling had indicated the seat would be lost to Labor.
LIVE 1PM: Ninderry LNP hopeful and long-time detective Dan Purdie had some help from an old friend and high-profile former cop with Federal Immigration Minister Peter Dutton handing out how-to-vote cards this morning.
The Federal Member for Dickson was in Bli Bli this morning with his wife and children handing out the cards to early morning voters for about an hour, before heading back to Brisbane.
Mr Purdie said booths had been packed in North Buderim this morning, and there was a steady trickle of voters in Peregian Springs at the moment.
LIVE: 12.30PM: No lines at all at Unity College in Caloundra.
Electorate commission staff at the booth said it's been steady throughout the morning but nowhere near as busy as last year.
They said around a third of people have voted in the pre-polling period this year which may be why numbers are low today.
LIVE 10.30AM: Steve Dickson has cast his vote at the Buderim Mountain State School but was quick get back out and talk to the public as they came into vote.
The One Nation Queensland leader is unlikely to hold his seat but said whatever the results are today it would be a momentous day for the whole of Queensland.
The lines from early this morning have eased but there are still many people flowing in to cast their votes.
Buderim Mountain State School P&C president Sharyn Eva said the big numbers have been great for their sausage sizzle.
She said they have raised some good money which will be used to improve the gardens around the school.
LIVE 9AM: There were no lines to see outside Maroochydore State High School this morning as the early risers got in early to vote.
Fiona Simpson volunteer Amber James said pre-polling percentages were extremely high and this could be why numbers were low.
The sausage sizzle was up and running with members of the Swanies Leos Club giving up a day of their holiday to feed the voters.
LIVE 8AM:Voters are facing up to a 10-minute wait at the Buderim State Primary School this morning as the Coast votes in the 2017 Queensland election.
But it appears many have made up their minds, with few accepting how to vote cards from enthusiastic party volunteers.
One Nation's Queensland leader Steve Dickson is greeting voters outside the school in a last-minute grab for support.
Mr Dickson is unlikely to retain the seat of Buderim with the LNP's Brent Mickelberg firm favourite to claim as easy victory.
LIVE 5AM: Polling booths open in three hours across the Sunshine Coast, with eight electorates to be decided today.
Those who haven't yet voted would be encouraged to get out early with the Bureau of Meteorology predicting rain across the Coast this afternoon.
At a Queensland level, the Palaszczuk Labor team looks likely to be returned, with some predicting them to claim 48 seats and potentially up to 54 in the new 93-seat parliament.
Locally, the most interesting battle is developing in Glass House where the LNP's Andrew Powell faces tough opposition from Labor's Brent Hampstead and One Nation's Tracey Bell-Henselin.
Eyes will also be on Noosa, where the LNP's Glen Elmes will have to fight off a tough opponent in Independent Sue Bolton, and Nicklin with the retirement of Peter Wellington.
There's been a few changes in the local political landscape since the Palaszczuk Government swept to power back in 2015.
We have a new state seat of Ninderry, nestled between Buderim and Noosa, and stretching from the coastline to the Bruce Highway.